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	<title>Private Briefing - Personal finance news from the Parliamentary Press Gallery &#187; Trade</title>
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	<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au</link>
	<description>Australian Personal Finance News to Use</description>
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		<title>Australian wages finally outstrip prices</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/05/17/australian-wages-outstrip-prices/</link>
		<comments>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/05/17/australian-wages-outstrip-prices/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 May 2012 06:24:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Banking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial advice]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=9655</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Wages have been rising much faster than prices over the past year. That is clearly documented in figures just released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics. These showed that average [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Wages have been rising much faster than prices over the past year.</p>
<p>That is clearly documented in figures just released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics.</p>
<p>These showed that average weekly earnings rose by 4.4 per cent in the 12 months to the end of February, on seasonally adjusted figures.</p>
<p>That includes a rise of 1.1 per cent between November and February.</p>
<p>Price figures are not directly comparable, because they are taken over different periods.</p>
<p>But that is not too important.</p>
<p>The Bureau&#8217;s latest figures show Australian prices rising by 1.6 per cent in the year to the end of March.</p>
<p>So wages rose almost 3 times as fast as prices, over the past year or so.</p>
<p>That looks like a big development.</p>
<p>It is.</p>
<p>Especially for families used to wages chasing prices.</p>
<p>So what, really, is going on?</p>
<p>Who is winning?</p>
<p>Who is losing?</p>
<p>To answer those questions, we need to go back to Economics I.</p>
<p>That tells us prices are set by a mix of supply and demand.</p>
<p>Australia&#8217;s experience, over recent decades, has mostly  been one of rapidly growing population.</p>
<p>That, in itself, has produced high demand.</p>
<p>So Australians became used to seeing the price of homes, food, cars &#8211; and much else beside &#8211; rising constantly.</p>
<p>Since the crash of 2008, though, we have become much more cautious, in our spending.</p>
<p>That is largely due to perceptions of job insecurity, in the rumblings that followed the crash.</p>
<p>Europe&#8217;s debt issues have been particularly worrying.</p>
<p>So, mostly, we, are saving more and spending less.</p>
<p>Australia has sunk into a multi-speed economy.</p>
<p>Demand for our iron ore and coal is still high, although even in these areas, prices  have passed recent peaks.</p>
<p>The nation&#8217;s shopkeepers &#8211; and builders &#8211; have had some very tough times.</p>
<p>That has led to widespread price cutting.</p>
<p>Signs offering &#8220;20 to 50 per cent off&#8221; are everywhere in our stores.</p>
<p>Home building, particularly, has slumped.</p>
<p>Only multi-storey construction projects are showing any signs of life, in most Australian capitals.</p>
<p>Demand for workers, though, has remained relatively strong.</p>
<p>At 4.9 per cent, Australia&#8217;s current inflation rate is just a fraction of those seen in many other advanced western countries.</p>
<p>The mining boom has, effectively, put a floor under the nation&#8217;s job market, so far.</p>
<p>Widespread perceptions of job insecurity, though, are not entirely misplaced.</p>
<p>The Federal public service, for example, once seen as a lifetime employer, is now planning to cut more than 4,000 jobs.</p>
<p>The Federal government&#8217;s determination to get its budget back into surplus hastened that process.</p>
<p>So while most Australians like to see wages outpacing prices, many are not advantaged by the kind of economy, in which that can happen.</p>
<p>Times are still tough, for many.</p>
<p>That must be remembered.</p>
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		<title>Greece on the edge</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/05/15/greece-on-the-edge/</link>
		<comments>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/05/15/greece-on-the-edge/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 May 2012 20:19:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Banking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial advice]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investment]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=9628</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Efforts to form a new Greek government appear close to collapse, but talks will resume today. If they fail, as three previous attempts already have, Greeks will be forced to [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Efforts to form a new Greek government appear close to collapse, but talks will resume today.</p>
<p>If they fail, as three previous attempts already have, Greeks will be forced to vote again, in fresh elections next month.</p>
<p>The left-wing Syriza bloc &#8211; the second largest in parliament &#8211; did not attend the latest talks, saying it would not join any coalition making further cuts.</p>
<p>Syriza rejects the terms of the EU/IMF bailout, which demands more austerity.</p>
<p>The deepening crisis could see Greece forced out of the EU and return to its previous currency, the drachma.</p>
<p>One report says Greece now has only enough cash to meet pension payments – and other commitments – for another six weeks.</p>
<p>“Things are very difficult. I&#8217;m not optimistic,&#8221;  Evangelos Venizelos, leader of the Socialist Pasok party, said after the latest talks.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, Greece&#8217;s wait goes on.</p>
<p>One proposal under discussion is that of the president to form a government of technocrats, made up of what are described as &#8220;distinguished and non-political figures&#8221;.</p>
<p>That has received a mixed reaction from some parties.</p>
<p>They know that many Greeks resent the country&#8217;s outgoing prime minister for being an appointed technocrat rather than an elected leader. However Greek politicians appear too divided to serve together in a coalition.</p>
<p>They are split over whether to adhere to or reject Greece&#8217;s bailout agreement and further cost-cutting.</p>
<p>If last-ditch talks fail, Greece will face fresh elections, prolonged political instability and possibly a slide towards an exit from the euro. Greece&#8217;s president appears determined to try everything he can to avoid it.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Rate cut hopes rise</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/04/23/rate-cut-hopes-rise-3/</link>
		<comments>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/04/23/rate-cut-hopes-rise-3/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Apr 2012 05:24:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Banking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial advice]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Regulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=9456</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Producer prices eased in the March quarter of this year, making a rate cut on Tuesday next week more likely. That&#8217;s when the Reserve Bank board meets to review rates. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Producer prices eased in the March quarter of this year, making a rate cut on Tuesday next week more likely.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s when the Reserve Bank board meets to review rates.</p>
<p>The Australian Bureau of Statistics reports that final stage producer prices fell by 0.3 per cent in the first three months of this year and rose by a bare 1.4 per cent, in the 12 months to the end of March.</p>
<p>The National Australia bank also says that fruit and vegetable prices fell in the March quarter and growth in housing prices had been “fairly subdued.”</p>
<p>The NAB noted, too, that there has been &#8220;continuing weakness&#8221; in retail price inflation.</p>
<p>It is predicting that fresh consumer price index figures, which the bureau is to release on Tuesday this week, will put core inflation at 0.6 per cent for the March quarter.</p>
<p>This would leave core inflation for the year at 2.3 per cent, a level comfortably within the Reserve Bank’s target range of 2-3 per cent, over the course of a business cycle.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Holden wins agreement with China</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/04/16/holden-wins-agreement-with-china/</link>
		<comments>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/04/16/holden-wins-agreement-with-china/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Apr 2012 06:37:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Banking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=9390</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[General Motors Holden has secured an agreement to design and engineer two new vehicles for the huge Chinese market. The Minister for Industry and Innovation, Greg Combet, congratulated the car [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>General Motors Holden has secured an agreement to design and engineer two new vehicles for the huge Chinese market.</p>
<p>The Minister for Industry and Innovation, Greg Combet, congratulated the car maker, but said this would not have been possible without the Federal government&#8217;s earlier support for the company.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Confidence slips as&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/04/04/confidence-slips-as/</link>
		<comments>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/04/04/confidence-slips-as/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Apr 2012 06:53:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Banking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial advice]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rural australia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=9321</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Australians are now deeply worried about their country’s economic prospects over the coming five years. This was the main reason for a fall in consumer confidence, registered in a Roy [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Australians are now deeply worried about their country’s economic prospects over the coming five years.</p>
<p>This was the main reason for a fall in consumer confidence, registered in a Roy Morgan survey, that has just been published.</p>
<p>Gary Morgan, who released its results, suggested that the Reserve Bank’s decision this week to keep interest rates on hold might well have been mistimed..</p>
<p>“It can only be hoped that the Reserve Bank’s failure to act early is not seen later as a policy error,” Mr Morgan said.</p>
<p>The Housing Industry Association also argues that Australia’s interest rates should have been cut.</p>
<p>“New home building has been hampered by interest rates that have been too high for too long…” Andrew Harvey, a senior HIA economist said.</p>
<p>A HIA study, also published today, warned that Australia’s builders still  face “further deterioration” in their industry in the months ahead.</p>
<p>It predicted a 5.9 per cent fall in new housing starts this year, after a fall of 12.8 per cent last year.</p>
<p>The Bureau of Statistics also reported that Australia’s trade was once again in the red, in February, despite a huge surge in wheat exports that month.</p>
<p>Exports fell by 2 per cent, on seasonally adjusted figures that month, as commodity prices weakened and demand eased.</p>
<p>The Bureau also reported that Australians spent 4 per cent less on imports in February, than they they had the previous month.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Wheat exports soar, but we&#8217;re still in the red</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/04/04/9317/</link>
		<comments>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/04/04/9317/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Apr 2012 01:57:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Banking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=9317</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Despite huge wheat exports, Australia chalked up a $480 million trade deficit in February. However that seasonally adjusted figure, published by the Bureau of Statistics, was a significant improvement on [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Despite huge wheat exports, Australia chalked up a $480 million trade deficit in February.</p>
<p>However that seasonally adjusted figure, published by the Bureau of Statistics, was a significant improvement on the January deficit of $971 million.</p>
<p>The value of Australia’s exports fell by 2 per cent in February, to $24.4 billion, on seasonally adjusted figures.</p>
<p>Australia’s imports, during the month, were worth $24.9 billion, a fall of 4 per cent from the January result.</p>
<p>On  trend estimates, though, the $28 million surplus, seen in January, was replaced by a $451 million deficit.</p>
<p>The Bureau also reported that Australia exported $2.4 million tonnes of wheat in February, the highest monthly level in 9 years.</p>
<p>That was a 13 per cent rise on the comparable figure for January.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>Builders demand rate cut</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/04/02/builders-demand-rate-cut/</link>
		<comments>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/04/02/builders-demand-rate-cut/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Apr 2012 07:40:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Banking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial advice]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Regulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=9288</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Australia’s builders want an immediate cut in the nation’s home loan interest rates. They made their demand  on the eve of a Reserve Bank board meeting, which will review rates. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Australia’s builders want an immediate cut in the nation’s home loan interest rates.</p>
<p>They made their demand  on the eve of a Reserve Bank board meeting, which will review rates.</p>
<p>It was prompted by a sharp fall in home loan approvals last month.</p>
<p>The Statistician reported that, on seasonally adjusted figures, home building approvals fell by 7.8 per cent  in February, to a level 15.2 per cent below that seen in the same month last year.</p>
<p>There was  a 41 per cent plunge in New South Wales.</p>
<p>The building industry’s response was blunt.</p>
<p>“ The time for contemplation is over,” Harley Dale, the chief economist of the Housing Industry Association said.</p>
<p>“Australia’s interest rate settings are clearly too high,” he added.</p>
<p>The fall, in February, took home loan approvals in Australia to their lowest level since March 2009.</p>
<p>Other data, just released showed that Australian manufacturing has also moved into negative territory.</p>
<p>An index, published by the Australian Industry Group, showed a 1.8 point contraction in March.</p>
<p>Clothing, footwear and furniture factories were hit particularly hard.</p>
<p>New orders fell by 3.5 points.</p>
<p>Economists admit that the strong $A is making Australian manufacturers less able to withstand competition from foreign factories.</p>
<p>Innes Willox, of the AI group, described the exchange rate pressure on local factories as “relentless.”</p>
<p>“The fragility of the sector highlights the importance of the Federal budget in maintaining programs that build productivity,” Mr Willox warned.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>This is just the &#8220;first taste&#8221;  &#8211; Swan</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/03/28/this-is-just-the-first-taste-swan/</link>
		<comments>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/03/28/this-is-just-the-first-taste-swan/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Mar 2012 22:56:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Airlines]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Banking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Financial advice]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=9236</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The mining boom is just “the first taste” of the prosperity awaiting Australia  in the Asian Century, which now lies ahead,  the Federal Treasurer Wayne Swan says. Addressing  the Australia [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The mining boom is just “the first taste” of the prosperity awaiting Australia  in the Asian Century, which now lies ahead,  the Federal Treasurer Wayne Swan says.</p>
<p>Addressing  the Australia China Business Council in Melbourne, Mr Swan said:  “Australia stands right at the centre of a transformative, defining shift that will shape the 21st century.”</p>
<p>Over the next five years, the IMF expects China to drive about one third of global growth and that  Asia, more broadly, “would drive more than half.”</p>
<p>An increasingly prosperous middle class in Asia would demand more consumption goods and more services.</p>
<p>“Asia will demand more and better consumer goods – like complex consumer durables and high-end electronics which were previously available only to the wealthy in society,” Mr Swan said.</p>
<p>“And they’ll demand more sophisticated services – both at home and abroad. Education. Recreation. Healthcare. Financial services. Travel.”</p>
<p>However Mr Swan said Australia must develop the skills, capital and resources that would be needed to equip it to meet the challenges these developments would present.</p>
<p>“… we must continue to build our reputation as a high-technology, low-carbon economy – moving up the value chain in product and service markets to supply a rapidly middle-classing Asia,” Mr Swan said.</p>
<p>“But what really matters for our economic relationship is the drive of businesses and people to establish their own relations – their own friendships – in the region.</p>
<p>Mr Swan said Australia could also advance its prospects, in the Asian Century through business-to-business and people-to-people links.</p>
<p>“It will be the friendships made at school, the enjoyment of conversing in a common language, and the respect formed in conducting repeat business that will sustain our engagement with Asia into the future,” he added.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>Australia&#8217;s imports fall</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/03/21/australias-imports-fall/</link>
		<comments>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/03/21/australias-imports-fall/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Mar 2012 00:50:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Banking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=9179</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Australia&#8217;s import bill fell by 6 per cent, to $17.9 billion in February, on original figures just published by the Bureau of Statistics. That fall was driven by a 7 [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Australia&#8217;s import bill fell by 6 per cent, to $17.9 billion in February, on original figures just published by the Bureau of Statistics.</p>
<p>That fall was driven by a 7 per cent fall in imports of consumption goods, on seasonally adjusted estimates.</p>
<p>Imports of capital goods, calculated on the same basis, fell by 5 per cent.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>Spreading the wealth:the winners</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/03/20/spreading-the-wealththe-winners/</link>
		<comments>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/03/20/spreading-the-wealththe-winners/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Mar 2012 10:03:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Banking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Regulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Superannuation]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=9168</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Young Australians – and small business owners – will be among the biggest winners from the redistribution of wealth, that will come with the new super profits tax on Australia’s [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Young Australians – and small business owners – will be among the biggest winners from the redistribution of wealth, that will come with the new super profits tax on Australia’s resource giants.</p>
<p>These changes will be the biggest in years – and they have come at a high political price.</p>
<p>Miners, objecting to an earlier version of this tax, for example, played a significant part in Kevin Rudd’s downfall, as Prime Minister.</p>
<p>So all involved, in the latest changes, were well aware that this has always been a high stakes game.</p>
<p>But that’s them.</p>
<p>What about you?</p>
<p>The first thing to remember is that, essentially, there is nothing new about the tax system being used to redistribute wealth.</p>
<p>That’s been happening for years.</p>
<p>All Australian taxpayers, for example,  help pay the pensions of older people, who are no longer able to work.</p>
<p>That’s part of a system called civilization.</p>
<p>A young woman, we might call Kate, will do particularly well, from the latest changes.</p>
<p>Kate, a 20 year old hairdresser, will get an extra $110,000, when she eventually retires, as a result of the gradual increase in compulsory contributions to her superannuation  pot, from the present rate of 9 per cent, to a new rate of 12 per cent.</p>
<p>Kate will be delighted, also, to learn that the sums, behind those figures, were done by highly numerate Treasury officials, who do that sort of thing for a living.</p>
<p>Small business owners, too, will be early winners.</p>
<p>From July 1 this year, they will get an immediate cut from 30 to 29 per cent in their company tax rate,  and immediate tax write offs, of up to $6,500, for new equipment they buy for their businesses.</p>
<p>Big business will have to wait until July 1 next year, for a comparable tax cut.</p>
<p>The Treasurer, Wayne Swan, was delighted when the Senate passed his mining tax  bills last night.</p>
<p>He said that would: “allow us to share the benefits of the mining boom and deliver a fair return to Australians from the resources that we all own.”</p>
<p>Tony Abbott was not.</p>
<p>The Opposition Leader said the government had simply “hit Australians with yet another big tax.”</p>
<p>Australia’s superannuation funds “hailed” the new arrangements, describing them as “historic.”</p>
<p>Employers, though,were guarded.</p>
<p>Heather Ridout, of the Australian Industry Group, said claims for future wage rises must be assessed against the bigger superannuation entitlements that are now in sight.</p>
<p>And Peter Anderson of the Australian Chamber of Commerce and Industry, described those rising entitlements as “a bitter pill” for the nation’s employers.</p>
<p>The government did manage to win reluctant agreement from most of Australia’s miners, for its plan.</p>
<p>Not, though, from Clive Palmer.</p>
<p>The Queensland coal baron is still deeply opposed to the new plan &#8211; and remains a dangerous opponent of it.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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