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	<title>Private Briefing - Personal finance news from the Parliamentary Press Gallery &#187; Tax</title>
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		<title>Carbon tax not to blame for Kurri Kurri closure:PM</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/05/23/carbon-tax-not-to-blame-for-kurri-kurri-closurepm/</link>
		<comments>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/05/23/carbon-tax-not-to-blame-for-kurri-kurri-closurepm/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 May 2012 04:49:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Banking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=9711</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Federal government says its carbon tax was not a major factor in  the closure of  the Kurrri Kurri  aluminium smelter, in the Hunter Valley, which cost more than 450 [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Federal government says its carbon tax was not a major factor in  the closure of  the Kurrri Kurri  aluminium smelter, in the Hunter Valley, which cost more than 450 jobs.</p>
<p>The Opposition Leader Tony Abbott tackled the Prime Minister, Julia Gillard, on the issue as question time opened in Parliament.</p>
<p>Ms Gillard said aluminium prices had dropped fallen by 40 per cent, from their peak.</p>
<p>And a senior minister, Greg Combet,  said &#8220;It has long been known that the Kurri Kurri smelter had faced difficulties, which saw the closure of one of its pot lines back in January.</p>
<p>&#8220;The key uncertainty facing the company has veen reaching agreement with the NSW government over a long term electricity supply contract,&#8221; Mr Combet added.</p>
<p>Mr Abbott responded by quoting a company statement saying: &#8220;the long term viability of operations is negatively affected by a number of factors, including increasing energy costs and the carbon tax.&#8221;</p>
<p>Mr Combet said: &#8220;That was selective quoting by the Leader of the Opposition.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>The budget&#8217;s hidden strategy</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/05/09/the-budgets-hidden-strategy/</link>
		<comments>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/05/09/the-budgets-hidden-strategy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 May 2012 02:39:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Banking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=9604</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The key point in assessing last  night’s Federal budget is to remember that it has dual aims. The first is to lure traditional Labor voters back into the fold, before [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The key point in assessing last  night’s Federal budget is to remember that it has dual aims.</p>
<p>The first is to lure traditional Labor voters back into the fold, before the next election.</p>
<p>The second is to gently push a flagging domestic economy towards recovery.</p>
<p>Wayne Swan has approached both of his targets quite cleverly.</p>
<p>The Treasurer talks of spreading the benefits of the mining boom to low and middle income earners, in what he calls his “battlers’ budget.”</p>
<p>The government is planning to do this, primarily, by shifting $5 billion into new family payments, higher pensions new disability and dental schemes, and a variety of other measures.</p>
<p>Attempting this, while producing a $1.5 billion surplus, is a bold ambition.</p>
<p>There are costs, of course.</p>
<p>Deferrals on big ticket defence purchases.</p>
<p>Heavy cuts in Public Service employment and</p>
<p>Cancellation of a promised 1 per cent cut, in the company tax rate.</p>
<p>The electoral appeal of increased pensions and new payments for parents with school aged children, among other goodies, is obvious.</p>
<p>Labor, of course, has a great deal of ground to make up in the polls, if it is to have any chance, at all, of winning the next elections, due in 2013.</p>
<p>The economic impact of a $5 billion transfer to people on low incomes, though, might be less obvious.</p>
<p>That’s all about what economists call the propensity to spend.</p>
<p>The poor, naturally, tend to spend more freely than the rich, when a little extra money comes along.</p>
<p>Australia’s shopkeepers will be delighted with that.</p>
<p>Yet – as independent economists admit – this surplus budget –overall – carries little risk of inflation.</p>
<p>Some stimulus, then, to a sagging domestic economy, without much damage.</p>
<p>A clever strategy,  which might well work.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>He cooked the books:Abbott</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/05/09/he-cooked-the-booksabbott/</link>
		<comments>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/05/09/he-cooked-the-booksabbott/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 May 2012 20:29:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Banking]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=9602</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Tony Abbott said the government had cooked the books to produce a “wafer thin” surplus of $1.5 billion. “…even this surplus is a surplus based on cooked books,” the Opposition [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Tony Abbott said the government had cooked the books to produce a “wafer thin” surplus of $1.5 billion.</p>
<p>“…even this surplus is a surplus based on cooked books,” the Opposition Leader told reporters.</p>
<p>“… the Treasurer has artificially moved spending out of next year into this year and into the year after, “ Mr Abbott added.</p>
<p>“… and he’s artificially moved spending off-budget that should be on-budget.</p>
<p>“So, this is a cooked books surplus based on fiddled figures and, yet again, no one should take this government seriously,” the Opposition Leader said.</p>
<p>“…what this government has actually delivered is the four biggest deficits in Australian history,” Mr Abbott said.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Budget draws mixed  reactions</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/05/08/budget-draws-mixed-reactions/</link>
		<comments>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/05/08/budget-draws-mixed-reactions/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 May 2012 11:13:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=9595</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#8220;Robin Hood budget comes good.&#8221; That was how the Australian Council of Social Service,  a major welfare group, greeted the Federal budget. Business was less enthusiastic, with the Australian Industry [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Robin Hood budget comes good.&#8221;</p>
<p>That was how the Australian Council of Social Service,  a major welfare group, greeted the Federal budget.</p>
<p>Business was less enthusiastic, with the Australian Industry group saying the government had chosen &#8220;short term strategic boost, at the expense of longer term drivers of economic growth.&#8221;</p>
<p>Commonwealth public servants were horrified.</p>
<p>&#8220;The government&#8217;s single minded pursuit of a budget surplus will cost 4,200 jobs and result in reduced public services across Australia,&#8221; Nadine Flood, the National Secretary of the Community and Public Sector Union said.</p>
<p>In other reactions:-</p>
<p>* The Housing Industry Association said the budget &#8220;missed the mark&#8221; on housing, as it contained nothing to address weakness in the building sector.</p>
<p>* The chief executive of the Australian Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Peter Anderson, said the budget was ambitious for Commonwealth finances, but lacked vision for the broader economy and</p>
<p>*The Association of Superannuation Funds of Australia said making &#8220;changes at the edges&#8221; to gain revenue for short term political gain&#8221; falls short of developing a long term, sustainable, retirement incomes policy.&#8221;</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>The budget: What he said</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/05/08/the-budget-what-he-said/</link>
		<comments>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/05/08/the-budget-what-he-said/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 May 2012 09:51:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Airlines]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=9586</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Treasurer Wayne Swan said his fifth budget would produce a &#8220;stronger, fairer&#8221; Australia. The 2012-13 Budget will keep the Australian economy among the strongest in the world. It will [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="containerMiddle">The Treasurer Wayne Swan said his fifth budget would produce a &#8220;stronger, fairer&#8221; Australia.</div>
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<div>The 2012-13 Budget will keep the Australian economy among the strongest in the world. It will deliver four years of growing surpluses, real relief for cost of living pressures and major social reforms to deliver a fair go for more Australians.</div>
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<p>This Budget deals with today&#8217;s challenges and builds the foundations for the future.</p>
<p>Australia&#8217;s economy is the standout performer in the developed world. We have avoided recession, kept Australians in jobs and are now bringing the budget back to surplus, ahead of every single major advanced economy.</p>
<p>Returning the budget to surplus is central to our plan to build an even stronger economy. It sends a very clear signal to the world about our strong economic fundamentals, and gives the Reserve Bank flexibility to cut interest rates further if it thinks that is needed.</p>
<p>While uncertainties remain in the global economy, Australia is also in the right place at the right time, as the weight of global economic activity shifts towards our region.</p>
<p>This is creating vast opportunities for Australian businesses, and driving a huge pipeline of investment that will support economic growth into the future, however it is also creating challenging conditions for parts of our patchwork economy.</p>
<p>But our success in supporting the economy and jobs during the global financial crisis means the economy faces the future from a position of strength.</p>
<p>This Budget builds on this success by making the critical investments that Australia needs today, to increase productivity, boost workforce participation and encourage businesses to invest and grow.</p>
<p>It helps businesses facing pressures in our patchwork economy with an innovative loss carry back initiative to help them through hard times and encourage them to invest in order to prepare for the future.</p>
<p>Importantly, the Budget delivers much-needed cost of living relief for Australian families &#8211; particularly on low and middle incomes.</p>
<p>It also takes the first steps towards important social reforms &#8211; in particular, a National Disability Insurance Scheme &#8211; as well as Aged Care reform and a blitz on dental waiting lists</p>
<p>This Budget gets the long term settings right so that we can convert the significant opportunities of the Asian Century into lasting prosperity over the medium and long term.</p>
<h2>Return to surplus and fiscal update</h2>
<p>Returning the budget to surplus in 2012-13 is appropriate given the strong fundamentals in our domestic economy and the challenges in the global economy.</p>
<p>Australia&#8217;s economy is over 7 per cent larger than it was before the GFC, while many other countries are still making up lost ground, with some now re-entering recession.</p>
<p>The Australian economy is expected to grow around trend over the next two years, outperforming every major advanced economy over the next two years. Real GDP growth is forecast to be 3¼ per cent in 2012-13 and 3 per cent in 2013-14.</p>
<p>We have an unemployment rate below every major advanced economy in the world bar one, and the unemployment rate is expected to remain low with a &#8217;5&#8242; in front of it.</p>
<p>Since Labor took office, more than 750,000 jobs have been created, in contrast to the 27 million jobs that have been lost across the world over the same period.</p>
<p>We have an economy with solid growth, low unemployment, and a record pipeline of investment in resources of around $455 billion, while at the same time achieving contained inflation.</p>
<p>The value of our economy is now more than $1.4 trillion, up from just $1.1 trillion when Labor came to office. This is an extraordinary achievement given it has come during the most destructive period in the global economy since the Great Depression.</p>
<p>Just as the Government stepped in to support the economy and protect jobs during the GFC, the Government is stepping back, ensuring that we don&#8217;t generate price pressures in the economy.</p>
<p>This continues to give the RBA flexibility to reduce interest rates if it thinks that is needed, which is important for workers and businesses under financial pressure.</p>
<p>Returning to surplus also locks in confidence, and is Australia&#8217;s best defence at a time when the global economy is changing dramatically. It creates a buffer in uncertain times and is a very clear sign of our strong economy.</p>
<p>The Government&#8217;s consistent and credible budget strategy has seen Australia achieve the gold-plated AAA credit rating from all three major global ratings agencies for the first time in our history.</p>
<p>However structural changes in our economy have reduced the Government&#8217;s revenue base over the short and medium term, with heightened global turmoil towards the end of last year contributing to weaker revenues than expected at the Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook in November last year.</p>
<p>Downward revisions to revenue collections have hit the budget balance by a further $12 billion across both 2011-12 and 2012-13 compared to the last forecasts in the mid-year budget update in November. This obviously makes the task of returning to surplus that much harder and takes the total write-down in tax collections since the 2008-09 Budget to around $150 billion over five years. This means that tax as a proportion of GDP in 2011-12 and the previous two years is the lowest it has been since 1993-94.</p>
<p>Taxes as a proportion of the economy remain below 23 per cent of GDP across the forward estimates. This is well within the Government&#8217;s commitment to keep taxes below 23.7 per cent of GDP.</p>
<p>The Government has made responsible and targeted savings to ensure Australia&#8217;s public finances and economy remain strong.</p>
<p>These responsible decisions improve the sustainability of government finances over the forward estimates, while protecting low and middle income earners and the frontline services Australian families rely on in health and education.</p>
<p>Our strict fiscal discipline means that payments as a proportion of the economy are expected to remain below 24 per cent from 2012-13 to the end of the forward estimates. The last time there were four successive years with the payments to GDP ratio below 24 per cent was more than 30 years ago.</p>
<p>As a result, the budget is on track for a surplus of $1.5 billion in 2012-13, growing over the forward estimates.</p>
<h2>Cost of living relief and <em>Benefits of the Boom</em> Package</h2>
<p>The Government will deliver a new <em>Benefits of the Boom</em> package &#8211; including major tax reforms, increases in the pension and family payments &#8211; to help families with the cost pressures they face every day.</p>
<p>This package includes $1.8 billion in extra support for families through more generous family payments, with more than 1.5 million families receiving a boost to their Family Tax Benefit (FTB) Part A from 1 July next year.</p>
<p>More than a million families will receive an increase of at least $300.</p>
<p>This assistance builds on the tripling of the tax free threshold from 1 July this year, delivering tax cuts to all taxpayers earning up to $80,000.</p>
<p>This is the largest increase in the history of the tax free threshold which will see up to an extra one million people not having to lodge a return.</p>
<p>Around 1.4 million Australians will benefit from the introduction of a new lump sum Supplementary Allowance to help recipients of Parenting Payment and allowances manage unexpected living expenses.</p>
<p>The payments of a total of $210 a year for singles or $350 a year for couples ($175 each; $87.50 per instalment) will indexed by the Consumer Price Index to keep pace with inflation, will not be means tested and is tax-free.</p>
<p>The lump sum payments will be paid twice yearly &#8211; $105 per instalment for singles and $87.50 per instalment for each person who is a member of a couple.</p>
<p>The <em>Benefits of the Boom</em> package is funded by revenue from the Minerals Resource Rent Tax arising from the rejection by the Opposition and the Greens of the planned company tax cut.</p>
<p>The Government is also providing 1.3 million Australian families with children at school with a new cash payment to help make ends meet.</p>
<p>Each year, families will receive a new Schoolkids Bonus worth:</p>
<ul>
<li>$410 for each child in primary school</li>
<li>$820 for each child in high school.</li>
</ul>
<p>This new guaranteed payment will help the families of 2.2 million school kids pay for uniforms, books, school excursions, stationery, and other costs like music lessons and sports registration fees.</p>
<p>The Government&#8217;s fiscal strategy of returning the budget to surplus ensures the Reserve Bank continues to have the flexibility for further interest rate cuts if it thinks that&#8217;s necessary.</p>
<p>Lower interest rates provide relief for workers and businesses right across Australia.</p>
<p>The Reserve Bank&#8217;s official interest rate is now 300 basis points lower than when the Government came to office.</p>
<p>Its current rate of 3.75 per cent is lower than at any time under the previous government.</p>
<p>A family with a mortgage of $300,000 is now paying around $3,500 a year less in repayments now than when the previous government left office.</p>
<h2>Supporting those most in need: the first stage of a National Disability Insurance Scheme</h2>
<p>The Gillard Government will kick start the most fundamental social policy reform since Medicare in this Budget, with a $1 billion investment to launch the first stage of Australia&#8217;s first ever National Disability Insurance Scheme.</p>
<p>A full NDIS will give Australians with a significant and permanent disability the peace of mind to know their needs will be addressed with dignity, no matter where they live, what their circumstances or how they acquired their disability.</p>
<p>The Government has committed $1 billion in this Budget to fund launch locations of the NDIS, delivering care and support over a person&#8217;s lifetime, as recommended in the Productivity Commission&#8217;s landmark report.</p>
<p>From July 2013, launch locations around the country will start to lift the standard of help for around 10,000 people with a significant and permanent disability &#8211; growing to 20,000 people from mid-2014.</p>
<p>People with significant and permanent disability will have their needs assessed, and start to receive personalised care and support.</p>
<p>The Government will negotiate locations with States and Territories who are willing to play their part, and will continue to work with all states and territories on the design, governance and funding arrangements for the full scheme.</p>
<p>The lessons we learn from the first stage will inform our conversations with the states and territories on the national roll-out of a National Disability Insurance Scheme.</p>
<h2>National Dental Scheme</h2>
<p>There is a direct correlation between those on lower incomes and below average standards of dental health. To address this issue Government is delivering $346 million to help reduce waiting lists for those on low incomes trying to access dental services in public clinics. This will deliver dental services to the estimated 400,000 people on public waiting lists.</p>
<p>In addition, the Government will provide funding for health workforce initiatives to support the relocation of dentists to work in rural and regional areas where there is a shortage of dentists. The Government will also provide infrastructure funding for dental clinics to expand capacity to deliver these services.</p>
<h2>Continuing our Strong Investment in Infrastructure</h2>
<p>This Government will continue its strong record of investing in infrastructure to expand our productive capacity, relieve congestion and improve road safety.</p>
<p>As a result of this Budget, all of the projects assessed as &#8216;Ready to Proceed&#8217; on Infrastructure Australia&#8217;s 2009 priority list have now been funded. Under the Nation Building programs, the Government is investing $36 billion in land transport infrastructure over six years through to 2013-14.</p>
<p>The Government will fund a range of additional measures in the 2012-13 Budget.</p>
<p>In this Budget, the Gillard Government will provide an extra $3.6 billion for the full duplication of the Pacific Highway by the end of 2016, provided it is matched by the NSW Government.</p>
<p>The Government will also continue funding for critical road safety programs, including $350 million per year for the Roads to Recovery program and $60 million per year for the Black Spots program.</p>
<p>The Government will support the development of the Moorebank Intermodal Terminal, which will help to reduce business costs and relieve bottlenecks and urban congestion in the Port Botany precinct.</p>
<p>The Government will provide $232 million toward the Torrens and Goodwood rail project to help ease congestion on Adelaide&#8217;s suburban and freight rail networks.</p>
<p>The Government is continuing the roll-out of the National Broadband Network. Over the next three years, NBN Co will commence work in over 1,500 communities covering 3.5 million premises throughout Australia.</p>
<h2><em>Living Longer. Living Better</em>: delivering overdue reform of the aged care system</h2>
<p>The Gillard Government will deliver landmark changes to the aged care system, to ensure older Australians have more choice and higher quality care.</p>
<p>People have overwhelmingly said they want to age well in their own homes, so under the $3.7 billion <em>Living Longer. Living Better</em> package more people will get to stay in their home for longer. The package includes around $577 million in new investment.</p>
<p>The Government is increasing the number of Home Care Packages by two thirds &#8211; from around 59,900 to almost 100,000. Contributions for Home Care will also be reformed to make them more equitable from 1 July 2014. Nobody in the system prior to that time will pay more, and full pensioners will continue to pay no more than the basic fee.</p>
<p>For those that do need to move into residential aged care, they will have more choice about how they pay for the residential aged care place. Contributions for residential care will be made more equitable and sustainable, with reforms to commence on 1 July 2014 and only applying to new or significantly refurbished facilities. People will be protected by a $25,000 annual cap on care fees in residential care and a $60,000 lifetime cap on care fees across both residential and home care.</p>
<p>The Government will also redirect $1.2 billion to improve the aged care workforce, a critical element of ensuring a sustainable, high quality aged care system.</p>
<h2>Helping businesses with an economy in transition</h2>
<p>The 2012-13 Budget delivers major new benefits for Australian businesses, many of which are facing serious pressures in our patchwork economy.</p>
<p>Australia&#8217;s 2.7 million small businesses are the engine room of our economy, employing almost 5 million Australian workers, or nearly half of the private sector workforce across the country.</p>
<p>The Gillard Government is committed to helping Australian small businesses grow, prosper and create jobs. In the depths of the worst global recession in 75 years, Labor acted decisively to keep the doors of small business open through targeted fiscal stimulus, bank guarantees to secure the flow of credit to small business, and through our highly successful $3.7 billion small business investment allowance.</p>
<p>The Gillard Government will introduce a loss carry back scheme to provide immediate tax relief for businesses which report a loss.</p>
<p>In its first four years, this major tax reform will provide assistance to around 110,000 companies struggling with the challenges of an economy in transition, helping them ride out difficult times and invest for the future.</p>
<p>Currently businesses are able to carry forward losses to offset future profits and therefore reduce their tax bills.</p>
<p>This reform will allow businesses to &#8216;carry back&#8217; their losses, applying them to their previous tax paid, and receive a refund on some of that tax paid.</p>
<p>The 2012-13 Budget also funds major tax breaks for Australian small businesses using the proceeds of the Minerals Resources Rent Tax. Together with our reforms to put a price on carbon, the MRRT means that from 1 July this year, small businesses will be able to instantly write-off any new business asset worth up to $6,500, for as many assets as they purchase. This important measure will be worth more than $1 billion to Australian small businesses in 2013-14 alone.</p>
<p>From 1 July this year, we will also let small businesses instantly write-off the first $5,000 of a motor vehicle. We recognise that for many small businesses their biggest asset is a ute or van. This very significant tax break will help free up cash flow and encourage businesses to reinvest and grow.</p>
<p>In the 2012-13 Budget, the Government is also extending its highly successful Small Business Advisory Service program with $27.5 million over four years to continue supporting Australia&#8217;s small businesses with vital advice and assistance.</p>
<p>The Gillard Government is also establishing the first Australian Small Business Commissioner who will be a point of contact for small business services and information.</p>
<p>The 2012-13 Budget builds on the Government&#8217;s strong track record of managing the economy in the interests of working Australians, growing our nation&#8217;s productive capacity and building the foundations for a prosperous future.</p>
<p>While our political opponents talk Australia down, we believe our country has a bright future.</p>
<p>We are investing in difficult long-term reforms such as the NDIS, aged care reform, putting a price on carbon, the Minerals Resource Rent Tax, the NBN and improvements to the tax system.</p>
<p>These are initiatives that will ensure Australians can make the most of the opportunities ahead in the Asian Century while staying true to the things Labor has always stood for &#8211; front-line services for working Australians, jobs and help for those who need it most.</p>
<p>This is a fair and balanced budget in the interests of working Australians that will ensure our economy remains the standout performer in the developed world.</p>
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		<title>Dirty dancing</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/05/07/dirty-dancing/</link>
		<comments>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/05/07/dirty-dancing/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 07 May 2012 07:24:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=9566</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[France steps out. Australia steps in. The Austerity Polka. The European Union began with a dream. Something better than two world wars in a century. Working together looked good. But [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>France steps out.</p>
<p>Australia steps in.</p>
<p>The Austerity Polka.</p>
<p>The European Union began with a dream.</p>
<p>Something better than two world wars in a century.</p>
<p>Working together looked good.</p>
<p>But after the GFC struck, back in 2008, things went wrong.</p>
<p>The  EU’s austere response, championed by Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy, started to produce troubling signs.</p>
<p>Historically high levels of unemployment in weaker EU countries, like Greece, Spain and Ireland.</p>
<p>Just the kind of thing that eventually led to WW2, back in the 1930s.</p>
<p>Groucho Marx once urged  world leaders to learn from the mistakes of others.</p>
<p>He told them that they would not live long enough to make all possible mistakes, themselves.</p>
<p>And, yes, the world did try the cautious approach back in the thirties, too.</p>
<p>Herbert Hoover, who became US president, just eight months after the Great Crash of 29,  responded carefully, as he believed a good Republican should.</p>
<p>Sure, he ordered Federal authorities to speed up construction projects, while cutting taxes and doubling spending on public works.</p>
<p>But by 1933, when a quarter of all US workers were unemployed, Hoover was criticised for his refusal to authorise large-scale relief programs.</p>
<p>Hoover had been unwilling  to commit large amounts of of government money to economic stimulation.</p>
<p>He had failed to recognise the all-encompassing nature of the Great Depression.</p>
<p>About that time the British economist, John Maynard Keynes,  produced a catchy bit of algebra, that was later accepted as justification for more expansionary policies, in downturns.</p>
<p>That’s what French – and Greek – voters are saying they want now.</p>
<p>Australia’s Treasurer, Wayne Swan, who followed Keynsian steps &#8211; successfully &#8211; after the 2008 crash will introduce a surplus budget, this week.</p>
<p>A modest surplus, he says, because revenue is down.</p>
<p>That, he adds, is also what Keynes demands.</p>
<p>Applying the brakes, gently, when growth returns.</p>
<p>Keynes didn’t have much to say, though, about two speed economies.</p>
<p>When shopkeepers are  forced to cut prices, for example,  to stay in business.</p>
<p>While a construction slump continues.</p>
<p>As a mining boom rolls on.</p>
<p>Tricky, anyway you look at it.</p>
<p>There are also clear signs that Australia’s job market is weakening.</p>
<p>And the nation’s economic growth this year won’t be strong enough to absorb this year’s  school leavers, in its job market.</p>
<p>Australia is still not faced with  harsh austerity.</p>
<p>Even mild steps, though, can be mistimed.</p>
<p>Economic management is like dancing.</p>
<p>Timing matters.</p>
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		<title>Two budget night boosts</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/05/06/two-budget-night-boosts/</link>
		<comments>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/05/06/two-budget-night-boosts/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 06 May 2012 05:20:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=9551</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There will be good news for families and business, in Tuesday night’s budget, despite the heavy cuts imposed, to produce a surplus. The Federal government announced both measures, in carefully [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There will be good news for families and business, in Tuesday night’s budget, despite the heavy cuts imposed, to produce a surplus.</p>
<p>The Federal government announced both measures, in carefully timed statements, on Sunday.</p>
<p>The Prime Minister, Julia <a href="http://pm.gov.au">Gillard</a> said that, from January 1 next year, the government would introduce a “schoolkids’ bonus.”</p>
<p>That would be worth $410 a year, for each child in primary school and $820 a year, for each child in secondary school.</p>
<p>Ms Gillard said the documents the Treasurer, Wayne Swan, would bring into Parliament, would reflect  “a traditional Labor” strategy.</p>
<p>Mr <a href="http://treasurer.gov.au">Swan</a> also said there would also be extra “tax relief for businesses in our patchwork economy.”</p>
<p>“This new initiative will allow businesses to also ‘carry back’ their losses, to offset past profits and get a refund of tax previously paid on that profit,” Mr Swan said.</p>
<p>“In doing so, this reform will mean businesses can use their tax losses now – when they need to – rather than in the future when their businesses are performing better,” he added.</p>
<p>The new schoolkids’ bonus will replace the present Education Tax Refund, from the start of next year.</p>
<p>“ Replacing the old system with this new payment means one million families will receive more cash – a typical family will get more than $720 extra each year ,” Ms Gillard said.</p>
<p>“As part of the transition to the new Schoolkids Bonus, the Education Tax Refund for 2011-12 will be paid out in full to all eligible families as a lump sum payment in June,” she added.</p>
<p>“This means families will receive their full Education Tax Refund entitlement ahead of tax time – so parents won’t have to worry about keeping receipts or making claims when they do their tax this year.,” the Prime Minister said.</p>
<p>She said the new bonus would cost an extra $400 million a year, on top of the$830 million already allocated for the Education Tax Refund.</p>
<p>Mr Swan said the introduction of the loss carry back system that he announced would implement “another recommendation” of the Australia’s Future Tax System review.</p>
<p>“In its first 4 years, this major tax reform is estimated to provide much-needed assistance to nearly 110,000 companies struggling with these challenges of an economy in transition, helping them ride out difficult times and invest for the future,” he added.</p>
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		<title>Tax net for the rich tightened</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/04/24/tax-net-for-the-rich-tightened/</link>
		<comments>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/04/24/tax-net-for-the-rich-tightened/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Apr 2012 00:53:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=9460</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Federal government is expecting “significant improvements” in the way the Tax Office pursues compliance by rich Australians. The Assistant Treasurer David Bradbury said comparable improvements can also be expected [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Federal government is expecting “significant improvements” in the way the Tax Office pursues compliance by rich Australians.</p>
<p>The Assistant Treasurer David Bradbury said comparable improvements can also be expected in the way the Tax Office handles compliance by small to medium enterprises, with turnovers of $100 to $250 million a year.</p>
<p>In both cases, this follows a review of the Tax Office’s activities in these areas, resulting from complaints by taxpayers.</p>
<p>Mr Bradbury said Inspector-General of Taxation, who conducted the Review, had identified key opportunities for the ATO to improve in several areas.</p>
<p>These included its technical capability and support, initial compliance decision making, project management, audit conduct, communication and engagement and information gathering.</p>
<p>The Review produced 41 recommendations.</p>
<p>Mr Bradbury said some reinforced work that the ATO has already begun.</p>
<p>Others were more distinct but complemented that work.</p>
<p>“ The ATO has agreed in full with 38 of the recommendations, two in part and disagreed with one,”Mr Bradbury said.</p>
<p>The report &#8211; and the ATO&#8217;s response, are available at <a href="http://igt.gov.au">www.igt.gov.au</a></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>Joe Hockey finds himself offside</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/04/19/joe-hockey-finds-himself-offside/</link>
		<comments>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/04/19/joe-hockey-finds-himself-offside/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Apr 2012 04:44:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=9430</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A speech Joe Hockey delivered to economists in London this week is raising eyebrows right across Australia. The Shadow Treasurer said: “government spending on a range of social programs including [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A speech Joe Hockey delivered to economists in London this week is raising eyebrows right across Australia.</p>
<p>The Shadow Treasurer said: “government spending on a range of social programs including education, health, housing, subsidized transport, social safety nets and retirement benefits has reached extraordinary levels as a percentage of GDP.”</p>
<p>And he warned that: “an inadequate level of revenue has forced nations into levels of indebtedness that, in an age of slowing growth and ageing population, are simply unsustainable.”</p>
<p>Mr Hockey urged Western countries, including Australia, to look at the Asian alternative.</p>
<p>“The sense of government entitlement in these countries is low,” he said.</p>
<p>“You get what you work for.</p>
<p>&#8220;Your tax payments are not excessive and there is an enormous incentive to work harder and earn more if you want to.</p>
<p>“By western standards this highly constrained public safety net may, at times, seem brutal,&#8221; Mr Hockey admitted.</p>
<p>“ But it works and it is financially sustainable.</p>
<p>“Contrast this with what we find in Europe, the UK and the USA.</p>
<p>“All of them have enormous entitlement systems spanning education, health, income support, retirement benefits, unemployment benefits and so on,” the Shadow Treasurer said.</p>
<p>Predictably, a delighted Julia Gillard pressed Mr Hockey to say just where a Coalition government would cut welfare and other spending.</p>
<p>A senior colleague, Andrew Robb, quickly said that Mr Hockey had been speaking mainly about Europe.</p>
<p>Tony Abbott was cautious, too, in his response to his Shadow Treasurer’s ideas.</p>
<p>“Well, Joe was making the very obvious point that governments have got to live within their means,” Mr Abbott told reporters in Queensland.</p>
<p>“ Countries have got to live within their means.</p>
<p>“And (Mr Hockey) was making the obvious point that if you look at a country like France, they spend double on social programs as a percentage of GDP than Australia,&#8221; Mr Abbott said.</p>
<p>“We haven’t got there yet and it’s the job of the Coalition to ensure that we never do,” he added.</p>
<p>Clearly, though, Mr Hockey is no fan of Oliver Wendell Holmes, the American jurist and poet, who once said: &#8220;I like to pay taxes. With them I buy civilization<em>.”</em></p>
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		<title>New tax break recommended</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/04/13/new-tax-break-recommended/</link>
		<comments>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/04/13/new-tax-break-recommended/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Apr 2012 06:32:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=9364</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Federal Treasurer Wayne Swan has welcomed a new report, recommending a tax break that would encourage small to medium sized companies to invest more boldly. The report is the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Federal Treasurer Wayne Swan has welcomed a new report, recommending a tax break that would encourage small to medium sized companies to invest more boldly.</p>
<p><a href="http:/www.treasury.gov.au">The report</a> is the first of two expected from the government’s business tax working group, which has been studying the tax treatment of losses.</p>
<p>The group recommended a break technically called “loss carry back.”</p>
<p>Mr Swan thanked group members for their work, but did not say whether the government would support either this recommendations, or measures the group also recommended to offset its costs.</p>
<p>The Treasurer did say, though, that the government would now wait for the group’s second report, which will deal with medium to longer term reforms.</p>
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