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The Dow Jones index rose 33.30 points  to 12,878.40

The $A was fetching 107.91 US cents early today

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$A rises against the $US, after the Reserve Bank keeps interest rates on hold at 4.25 per cent

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Extra help for flood victims

The Federal government is offering extra help to communities hit by floods in and Queensland and New South Wales.

The Prime Minister Julia Gillard said clean-up and recovery grants of up to $25,000 would be provided to communities in Queensland.

Similar grants, of up to $15,000, are being offered in New South Wales.

In Queensland primary producers, small businesses and not-for-profit organisations in the local government areas (LGAs) of Balonne, Barcaldine, Blackall-Tambo, Maranoa, Murweh and Paroo will be eligible.

In New South Wales, Ms Gillard the said the local government areas of  Moree, Narrabri and Gwydir would qualify.

Full details

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A missed chance: builders

The Reserve Bank missed a chance to  bolster  the confidence of Australian families and the business sector when it decided to keep rates on hold, builders say.
“A rate cut today would have been appropriate for current economic conditions,” the Housing Industry Association’s chief economist, Harley Dale said. “But sadly that decision was not taken.”

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Retail sales still trending upwards

Australia’s retail sales are still trending upwards, despite a small set back-  on seasonally adjusted figures – in December.

This suggests that the Australian economy is still gathering strength, however slowly.

The Bureau reports that, in trend terms, the nation’s retail sales rose by 0.2 per cent in December, despite a fall of 0.1 per cent, on seasonally adjusted figures.

The trend movement has now been steadily upwards since 2009.

So Australians are starting to spend again, even though they are still worried by Europe’s unresolved debt problems.

There is much, though, that was distinctly unseasonal, about the December retail sales figures.

On seasonally adjusted figures, for example, we  cut our spending on Christmas cake – and other food – by 0.7 per cent that month.

We cut our spending in restaurants, cafes and take away food stores, too, by 1.8 per cent.

We spent more, though, on clothes, shoes and accessories.

Even our long suffering Department Stores managed to chalk up higher sales in December, without putting on extra staff.

Job figures, that the Bureau had released earlier, showed that many young women missed out on their usual part time and casual shop assistant jobs, last year, in the pre-Christmas period.

Oddly, too, the Bureau reported that Australia’s resource rich States, Queensland and Western Australia – led the way down  in December’s retail sales – on seasonally adjusted estimates.

The Bureau, though, prefers its trend figures, even though they contain elements of averaging, from previous periods.

Journalists, who want nothing but the latest, have been difficult to persuade, on that matter.

This time, at least, though the Bureau has a good point.

The trend, in retail sales, is clearly upwards.

If  it continues, that will soon put new strength in the economy, as Australians, once again, start flashing their credit cards in the nation’s shops.

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A tight Christmas in resource rich States

Australia’s resource rich States had a tight Christmas.

The Bureau of Statistics reports that retail sales fell more in Queensland and Western Australia in December, than in other parts of the nation.

On seasonally adjusted figures, the Bureau reports that Australia’s retail sales fell by 0.1 per cent in December, after a rise of the same size the previous month.

Queensland and Western Australia led the way down, with falls of 1.4 and 0.7 per cent, respectively.

Sales in the Northern Territory also dropped sharply, falling by 2.6 per cent.

The Bureau reports that pre-Christmas sales also fell in New South Wales, South Australia and Tasmania.

However pre-Christmas sales rose by 1.5 per cent in Victoria and 1.8 per cent in the ACT.

Food sales fell by 0.7 per cent in December, while sales in cafes, restaurants and take away food stores dropped by 1.8 per cent.

However, we spent more on clothes, shoes and personal accessories in December.

Department stores also chalked up a 1.1 per cent rise in their sales that month, while sales of household goods rose 0.2 per cent.

For other retailers, though, sales were mostly flat.

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A Ruddy spectre still haunts PM

Julia Gillard’s hold on her job is slipping, even though her undeclared rival, Kevin Rudd, is not likely to mount an early challenge.

Despite an improvement in the latest Herald Neilsen poll, published in The Sydney Morning Herald  today, Labor still trails the Coalition 47 -53.

Ms Gillard also saw a 6 point rise in her approval as Prime Minister.

Even on these figures, though,  Labor would still be soundly defeated in a general election.

Even so, that was still an 8 point improvement for Labor.

Meanwhile, the Opposition Leader Tony Abbott has also virtually ruled out an attempt to bring down the Gillard government, by mounting a no confidence motion, when parliament resumes this week.

Instead, the Prime Minister told reporters she was looking forward to a planning session with Labor MPs, when she arrived for a Caucus meeting yesterday.

The meeting decided to attack the opposition on the economy, with MPs saying Mr Abbott had failed to set out an alternative plan for Australia’s economic management, when he addressed the National Press Club last week.

Ms Gillard told the meeting that Labor needed to present its message more clearly.

She also called for discipline, warning MPs to stop backgrounding reporters.

Meanwhile the Treasurer, Wayne Swan, who strongly supports Ms Gillard, reminded the public of Labor’s achievements, since it took office.

Mr Swan said families with a typical $300,000 home loan,  are now saving $3,000 a year on repayments, through lower interest rates.

He also said the Reserve Bank’s marker cash rate, which had been 6.75 per cent, when Labor came to power, is now 4.25 per cent.

Mr Swan also described Australia’s big four banks as “hugely profitable.”

He said they would be well able to pass on any rate cut the Reserve Bank might announce on Tuesday, in full. (see separate story)

Mr Swan claimed, too, that the government’s record of job creation is “outstanding” with 700,000 Australians gaining jobs over the past four years.

Tony Abbott, though, insisted that Australians still  needs a “better government right now.”

“I think we need an election,” Mr Abbott said.

However, Mr Abbott  said that while ever Craig Thompson is in Parliament “I think this government is firewalled against a no confidence motion…”

In a television interview, Mr Abbott also accused Fair Work Australia “or elements of it” of collusion with the government, in the Craig Thompson case.

Fair Work Australia has been investigating allegations that Mr Thomson, now a Labor MP,  misused union credit cards.

However FWA has not yet produced a report on the case, despite long proceedings.

Mr Rudd, the Foreign Minister, who is overseas on duty, did not attend the Caucus meeting, which was followed by a barbeque Ms Gillard held for Labor MPs, at the Lodge.

Although she is likely to survive as Prime Minister, at least in the short term, Ms Gillard’s position remains weak.

Both public and private polling has shown, consistently, that she does not have the public support she would need, to win the Federal election due next year.

That polling also shows that Kevin Rudd, the man she deposed from the nation’s top job, would have a much better chance of victory in that election.

Ms Gillard dismisses talk of a Rudd challenge as media “chatter.”

But Labor party bosses are not completely convinced.

And the chance of even a highly embarrassing victory next year, with a recycled Rudd leading the campaign still tempts them.

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Treasurer slaps the big banks

Wayne Swan has sharply attacked Australia’s big banks, saying they are determined to protect their “huge profitability.”

The Treasurer was speaking, in a television interview,  just days before the Reserve Bank board meets to review Australia’s interest rates.

A third rate cut, also of 25 basis points, is widely expected.

However, bank executives, including Westpac’s chief Gail Kelly, have been signalling that they might not pass on the full amount of any rate cut, that the Reserve Bank might announce on Tuesday.

Mr Swan’s pre-emptive response was swift and sharp.

“Customers would have every right to be angered if their bank decided to hang on to part of a rate cut to boost their profits,” he said.

“There’s no doubt Australia’s major banks are hugely profitable,” the Treasurer added.

“Despite the current global volatility, their net interest margins are still around pre-crisis levels and are around their average over the past decade.

“Their return on equity is much higher than most of their global peers,” Mr Swan said.

That is not what the banks have been saying.

Ms  Kelly, for example, has said that the funding costs Australia’s banks face rose quite strongly in the second half of last year.

Westpac, itself, admitted last week that it is planning to cut 300 to 400 jobs and union sources have said that as many as 560 jobs could well disappear at that bank.

The ANZ bank, too, has already cut more than 100 jobs and more jobs are expected to go at the ANZ over coming months.

Other banks are also understood to be reviewing their staff levels, in the light of recent developments.

Mr Swan described recent announcements of job cuts,  most notably in the banking and car industries, as “disappointing.”

Speaking principally of the car industry, he said: “There’s no doubt that many sectors are doing it tough at the moment, particularly with the high Australian dollar.”

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Bank jobs go as Australians shun new loans

Job losses are spreading in Australia’s banking industry, as their customers remain cautious about taking out new loans.

Westpac is the latest to announce cut backs, admitting that 300-400 jobs will go.

The Prime Minister Julia Gillard refused to comment, saying the bank had not made a formal announcement when she met reporters.

However she insisted that the nation’s  finance industry has “a bright future.”

News of the planned Westpac cuts came shortly after the Australian Bureau of Statistics reported that home building approvals fell by 1 per cent in December.

The Housing Industry Association said approvals  fell three times in the last four months of last year.

The association’s chief economist, Harley Dale, urged the Reserve Bank to lower interest rates, yet again, when its board meets next Tuesday.

Otherwise, he warned,  housing starts will fall to a level below that experienced during the depth of the global financial crisis.

Dr Dale also urged Australia’s banks to pass on any rate cut, in full.

There have been signs that at least some of the banks may be reluctant to do that, even though banking profits are still strong.

Ms Gillard admitted that job losses present family problems..

“…. for anybody to lose their job or to be confronted with a redundancy is a very tough moment for them and for their family.

“… they have all of our thoughts and all of our support,” she added.

But she  was optimistic.

“…when we look at the future, we can see a bright future for financial services,” Ms Gillard said.

“We live in a region which is growing. “

The  middle classes in both China and India are growing.

“ So I believe our financial services sector has a very bright outlook,”

However the Finance Sector Union described the latest job cuts as “a disgrace.”

Its national secretary Leon Carter told the ABC:”Times are tough out there.

“… the only people who aren’t doing it tough are big banks like Westpac that are making multi-billion-dollar annual profits.”

Related stories:

1. Nervous Australians shun credit
2. Our banks:the big risk ahead
3. Bank chief warns on home loan rates