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	<title>Private Briefing - Personal finance news from the Parliamentary Press Gallery &#187; Airlines</title>
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		<title>Confidence still &#8220;weak&#8221; despite good figures</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/05/16/confidence-still-weak/</link>
		<comments>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/05/16/confidence-still-weak/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 May 2012 06:08:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=9645</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Consumer confidence in Australia is still weak despite a big rate cut, higher family payments lower unemployment, moderate inflation  and higher wages. Westpac&#8217;s Chief Economist, Bill Evans, described a bare [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Consumer confidence in Australia is still weak despite a big rate cut, higher family payments lower unemployment, moderate inflation  and higher wages.</p>
<p>Westpac&#8217;s Chief Economist, Bill Evans, described a bare 0.8 per cent rise in the Westpac Melbourne Institute index of consumer confidence as &#8220;a disappointing result&#8221; in these circumstances.</p>
<p>&#8220;It follows a surprise 0.5 per cent cut in the official cash rate by the Reserve Bank and extensive media coverage that the unemployment rate had fallen from 5.2 to 4.9 per cent, Mr Evans said.</p>
<p>However he admitted that &#8220;other factors appear to have offset these positives.&#8221;</p>
<p>But another survey, published by the Roy Morgan produced a more positive result.</p>
<p>It showed Consumer Confidence had jumped 5.4 points to  its highest level for three months</p>
<p>The organisation said the biggest boost to confidence, reflected in its survey, had come from more people who now expect better times ahead.</p>
<p>Mr Evans noted  that home loan rates had fallen by an average of just 0.37 per cent and there had been &#8220;increasingly disturbing&#8221; news from Europe.</p>
<p>The Bureau of Statistics reported that home lending dropped by 0.3 per cent in March from the February level.</p>
<p>It also reported that hourly wage rates, measured on the Bureau&#8217;s wage price index, rose 0.9 per cent in the March quarter and 3.6 per cent in the 12 months to the end of March.</p>
<p>Prices, measured on the Consumer Price Index, rose by just 0.1 per cent in the same quarter and 1.6 per cent over the year.</p>
<p>The Bureau also reported today that, on original figures, the value of Australia&#8217;s imports fell to $18.8 billion in April from $20.8 billion in March.</p>
<p>However, worries over Europe increased overnight, Australian time, when Greek political leaders again failed to reach agreement on a new government for the country.</p>
<p>Fresh elections are now likely in Greece, probably next month.</p>
<p>And Greece might well be forced off the Euro.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>The budget: What he said</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/05/08/the-budget-what-he-said/</link>
		<comments>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/05/08/the-budget-what-he-said/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 May 2012 09:51:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=9586</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Treasurer Wayne Swan said his fifth budget would produce a &#8220;stronger, fairer&#8221; Australia. The 2012-13 Budget will keep the Australian economy among the strongest in the world. It will [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="containerMiddle">The Treasurer Wayne Swan said his fifth budget would produce a &#8220;stronger, fairer&#8221; Australia.</div>
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<div>The 2012-13 Budget will keep the Australian economy among the strongest in the world. It will deliver four years of growing surpluses, real relief for cost of living pressures and major social reforms to deliver a fair go for more Australians.</div>
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<p>This Budget deals with today&#8217;s challenges and builds the foundations for the future.</p>
<p>Australia&#8217;s economy is the standout performer in the developed world. We have avoided recession, kept Australians in jobs and are now bringing the budget back to surplus, ahead of every single major advanced economy.</p>
<p>Returning the budget to surplus is central to our plan to build an even stronger economy. It sends a very clear signal to the world about our strong economic fundamentals, and gives the Reserve Bank flexibility to cut interest rates further if it thinks that is needed.</p>
<p>While uncertainties remain in the global economy, Australia is also in the right place at the right time, as the weight of global economic activity shifts towards our region.</p>
<p>This is creating vast opportunities for Australian businesses, and driving a huge pipeline of investment that will support economic growth into the future, however it is also creating challenging conditions for parts of our patchwork economy.</p>
<p>But our success in supporting the economy and jobs during the global financial crisis means the economy faces the future from a position of strength.</p>
<p>This Budget builds on this success by making the critical investments that Australia needs today, to increase productivity, boost workforce participation and encourage businesses to invest and grow.</p>
<p>It helps businesses facing pressures in our patchwork economy with an innovative loss carry back initiative to help them through hard times and encourage them to invest in order to prepare for the future.</p>
<p>Importantly, the Budget delivers much-needed cost of living relief for Australian families &#8211; particularly on low and middle incomes.</p>
<p>It also takes the first steps towards important social reforms &#8211; in particular, a National Disability Insurance Scheme &#8211; as well as Aged Care reform and a blitz on dental waiting lists</p>
<p>This Budget gets the long term settings right so that we can convert the significant opportunities of the Asian Century into lasting prosperity over the medium and long term.</p>
<h2>Return to surplus and fiscal update</h2>
<p>Returning the budget to surplus in 2012-13 is appropriate given the strong fundamentals in our domestic economy and the challenges in the global economy.</p>
<p>Australia&#8217;s economy is over 7 per cent larger than it was before the GFC, while many other countries are still making up lost ground, with some now re-entering recession.</p>
<p>The Australian economy is expected to grow around trend over the next two years, outperforming every major advanced economy over the next two years. Real GDP growth is forecast to be 3¼ per cent in 2012-13 and 3 per cent in 2013-14.</p>
<p>We have an unemployment rate below every major advanced economy in the world bar one, and the unemployment rate is expected to remain low with a &#8217;5&#8242; in front of it.</p>
<p>Since Labor took office, more than 750,000 jobs have been created, in contrast to the 27 million jobs that have been lost across the world over the same period.</p>
<p>We have an economy with solid growth, low unemployment, and a record pipeline of investment in resources of around $455 billion, while at the same time achieving contained inflation.</p>
<p>The value of our economy is now more than $1.4 trillion, up from just $1.1 trillion when Labor came to office. This is an extraordinary achievement given it has come during the most destructive period in the global economy since the Great Depression.</p>
<p>Just as the Government stepped in to support the economy and protect jobs during the GFC, the Government is stepping back, ensuring that we don&#8217;t generate price pressures in the economy.</p>
<p>This continues to give the RBA flexibility to reduce interest rates if it thinks that is needed, which is important for workers and businesses under financial pressure.</p>
<p>Returning to surplus also locks in confidence, and is Australia&#8217;s best defence at a time when the global economy is changing dramatically. It creates a buffer in uncertain times and is a very clear sign of our strong economy.</p>
<p>The Government&#8217;s consistent and credible budget strategy has seen Australia achieve the gold-plated AAA credit rating from all three major global ratings agencies for the first time in our history.</p>
<p>However structural changes in our economy have reduced the Government&#8217;s revenue base over the short and medium term, with heightened global turmoil towards the end of last year contributing to weaker revenues than expected at the Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook in November last year.</p>
<p>Downward revisions to revenue collections have hit the budget balance by a further $12 billion across both 2011-12 and 2012-13 compared to the last forecasts in the mid-year budget update in November. This obviously makes the task of returning to surplus that much harder and takes the total write-down in tax collections since the 2008-09 Budget to around $150 billion over five years. This means that tax as a proportion of GDP in 2011-12 and the previous two years is the lowest it has been since 1993-94.</p>
<p>Taxes as a proportion of the economy remain below 23 per cent of GDP across the forward estimates. This is well within the Government&#8217;s commitment to keep taxes below 23.7 per cent of GDP.</p>
<p>The Government has made responsible and targeted savings to ensure Australia&#8217;s public finances and economy remain strong.</p>
<p>These responsible decisions improve the sustainability of government finances over the forward estimates, while protecting low and middle income earners and the frontline services Australian families rely on in health and education.</p>
<p>Our strict fiscal discipline means that payments as a proportion of the economy are expected to remain below 24 per cent from 2012-13 to the end of the forward estimates. The last time there were four successive years with the payments to GDP ratio below 24 per cent was more than 30 years ago.</p>
<p>As a result, the budget is on track for a surplus of $1.5 billion in 2012-13, growing over the forward estimates.</p>
<h2>Cost of living relief and <em>Benefits of the Boom</em> Package</h2>
<p>The Government will deliver a new <em>Benefits of the Boom</em> package &#8211; including major tax reforms, increases in the pension and family payments &#8211; to help families with the cost pressures they face every day.</p>
<p>This package includes $1.8 billion in extra support for families through more generous family payments, with more than 1.5 million families receiving a boost to their Family Tax Benefit (FTB) Part A from 1 July next year.</p>
<p>More than a million families will receive an increase of at least $300.</p>
<p>This assistance builds on the tripling of the tax free threshold from 1 July this year, delivering tax cuts to all taxpayers earning up to $80,000.</p>
<p>This is the largest increase in the history of the tax free threshold which will see up to an extra one million people not having to lodge a return.</p>
<p>Around 1.4 million Australians will benefit from the introduction of a new lump sum Supplementary Allowance to help recipients of Parenting Payment and allowances manage unexpected living expenses.</p>
<p>The payments of a total of $210 a year for singles or $350 a year for couples ($175 each; $87.50 per instalment) will indexed by the Consumer Price Index to keep pace with inflation, will not be means tested and is tax-free.</p>
<p>The lump sum payments will be paid twice yearly &#8211; $105 per instalment for singles and $87.50 per instalment for each person who is a member of a couple.</p>
<p>The <em>Benefits of the Boom</em> package is funded by revenue from the Minerals Resource Rent Tax arising from the rejection by the Opposition and the Greens of the planned company tax cut.</p>
<p>The Government is also providing 1.3 million Australian families with children at school with a new cash payment to help make ends meet.</p>
<p>Each year, families will receive a new Schoolkids Bonus worth:</p>
<ul>
<li>$410 for each child in primary school</li>
<li>$820 for each child in high school.</li>
</ul>
<p>This new guaranteed payment will help the families of 2.2 million school kids pay for uniforms, books, school excursions, stationery, and other costs like music lessons and sports registration fees.</p>
<p>The Government&#8217;s fiscal strategy of returning the budget to surplus ensures the Reserve Bank continues to have the flexibility for further interest rate cuts if it thinks that&#8217;s necessary.</p>
<p>Lower interest rates provide relief for workers and businesses right across Australia.</p>
<p>The Reserve Bank&#8217;s official interest rate is now 300 basis points lower than when the Government came to office.</p>
<p>Its current rate of 3.75 per cent is lower than at any time under the previous government.</p>
<p>A family with a mortgage of $300,000 is now paying around $3,500 a year less in repayments now than when the previous government left office.</p>
<h2>Supporting those most in need: the first stage of a National Disability Insurance Scheme</h2>
<p>The Gillard Government will kick start the most fundamental social policy reform since Medicare in this Budget, with a $1 billion investment to launch the first stage of Australia&#8217;s first ever National Disability Insurance Scheme.</p>
<p>A full NDIS will give Australians with a significant and permanent disability the peace of mind to know their needs will be addressed with dignity, no matter where they live, what their circumstances or how they acquired their disability.</p>
<p>The Government has committed $1 billion in this Budget to fund launch locations of the NDIS, delivering care and support over a person&#8217;s lifetime, as recommended in the Productivity Commission&#8217;s landmark report.</p>
<p>From July 2013, launch locations around the country will start to lift the standard of help for around 10,000 people with a significant and permanent disability &#8211; growing to 20,000 people from mid-2014.</p>
<p>People with significant and permanent disability will have their needs assessed, and start to receive personalised care and support.</p>
<p>The Government will negotiate locations with States and Territories who are willing to play their part, and will continue to work with all states and territories on the design, governance and funding arrangements for the full scheme.</p>
<p>The lessons we learn from the first stage will inform our conversations with the states and territories on the national roll-out of a National Disability Insurance Scheme.</p>
<h2>National Dental Scheme</h2>
<p>There is a direct correlation between those on lower incomes and below average standards of dental health. To address this issue Government is delivering $346 million to help reduce waiting lists for those on low incomes trying to access dental services in public clinics. This will deliver dental services to the estimated 400,000 people on public waiting lists.</p>
<p>In addition, the Government will provide funding for health workforce initiatives to support the relocation of dentists to work in rural and regional areas where there is a shortage of dentists. The Government will also provide infrastructure funding for dental clinics to expand capacity to deliver these services.</p>
<h2>Continuing our Strong Investment in Infrastructure</h2>
<p>This Government will continue its strong record of investing in infrastructure to expand our productive capacity, relieve congestion and improve road safety.</p>
<p>As a result of this Budget, all of the projects assessed as &#8216;Ready to Proceed&#8217; on Infrastructure Australia&#8217;s 2009 priority list have now been funded. Under the Nation Building programs, the Government is investing $36 billion in land transport infrastructure over six years through to 2013-14.</p>
<p>The Government will fund a range of additional measures in the 2012-13 Budget.</p>
<p>In this Budget, the Gillard Government will provide an extra $3.6 billion for the full duplication of the Pacific Highway by the end of 2016, provided it is matched by the NSW Government.</p>
<p>The Government will also continue funding for critical road safety programs, including $350 million per year for the Roads to Recovery program and $60 million per year for the Black Spots program.</p>
<p>The Government will support the development of the Moorebank Intermodal Terminal, which will help to reduce business costs and relieve bottlenecks and urban congestion in the Port Botany precinct.</p>
<p>The Government will provide $232 million toward the Torrens and Goodwood rail project to help ease congestion on Adelaide&#8217;s suburban and freight rail networks.</p>
<p>The Government is continuing the roll-out of the National Broadband Network. Over the next three years, NBN Co will commence work in over 1,500 communities covering 3.5 million premises throughout Australia.</p>
<h2><em>Living Longer. Living Better</em>: delivering overdue reform of the aged care system</h2>
<p>The Gillard Government will deliver landmark changes to the aged care system, to ensure older Australians have more choice and higher quality care.</p>
<p>People have overwhelmingly said they want to age well in their own homes, so under the $3.7 billion <em>Living Longer. Living Better</em> package more people will get to stay in their home for longer. The package includes around $577 million in new investment.</p>
<p>The Government is increasing the number of Home Care Packages by two thirds &#8211; from around 59,900 to almost 100,000. Contributions for Home Care will also be reformed to make them more equitable from 1 July 2014. Nobody in the system prior to that time will pay more, and full pensioners will continue to pay no more than the basic fee.</p>
<p>For those that do need to move into residential aged care, they will have more choice about how they pay for the residential aged care place. Contributions for residential care will be made more equitable and sustainable, with reforms to commence on 1 July 2014 and only applying to new or significantly refurbished facilities. People will be protected by a $25,000 annual cap on care fees in residential care and a $60,000 lifetime cap on care fees across both residential and home care.</p>
<p>The Government will also redirect $1.2 billion to improve the aged care workforce, a critical element of ensuring a sustainable, high quality aged care system.</p>
<h2>Helping businesses with an economy in transition</h2>
<p>The 2012-13 Budget delivers major new benefits for Australian businesses, many of which are facing serious pressures in our patchwork economy.</p>
<p>Australia&#8217;s 2.7 million small businesses are the engine room of our economy, employing almost 5 million Australian workers, or nearly half of the private sector workforce across the country.</p>
<p>The Gillard Government is committed to helping Australian small businesses grow, prosper and create jobs. In the depths of the worst global recession in 75 years, Labor acted decisively to keep the doors of small business open through targeted fiscal stimulus, bank guarantees to secure the flow of credit to small business, and through our highly successful $3.7 billion small business investment allowance.</p>
<p>The Gillard Government will introduce a loss carry back scheme to provide immediate tax relief for businesses which report a loss.</p>
<p>In its first four years, this major tax reform will provide assistance to around 110,000 companies struggling with the challenges of an economy in transition, helping them ride out difficult times and invest for the future.</p>
<p>Currently businesses are able to carry forward losses to offset future profits and therefore reduce their tax bills.</p>
<p>This reform will allow businesses to &#8216;carry back&#8217; their losses, applying them to their previous tax paid, and receive a refund on some of that tax paid.</p>
<p>The 2012-13 Budget also funds major tax breaks for Australian small businesses using the proceeds of the Minerals Resources Rent Tax. Together with our reforms to put a price on carbon, the MRRT means that from 1 July this year, small businesses will be able to instantly write-off any new business asset worth up to $6,500, for as many assets as they purchase. This important measure will be worth more than $1 billion to Australian small businesses in 2013-14 alone.</p>
<p>From 1 July this year, we will also let small businesses instantly write-off the first $5,000 of a motor vehicle. We recognise that for many small businesses their biggest asset is a ute or van. This very significant tax break will help free up cash flow and encourage businesses to reinvest and grow.</p>
<p>In the 2012-13 Budget, the Government is also extending its highly successful Small Business Advisory Service program with $27.5 million over four years to continue supporting Australia&#8217;s small businesses with vital advice and assistance.</p>
<p>The Gillard Government is also establishing the first Australian Small Business Commissioner who will be a point of contact for small business services and information.</p>
<p>The 2012-13 Budget builds on the Government&#8217;s strong track record of managing the economy in the interests of working Australians, growing our nation&#8217;s productive capacity and building the foundations for a prosperous future.</p>
<p>While our political opponents talk Australia down, we believe our country has a bright future.</p>
<p>We are investing in difficult long-term reforms such as the NDIS, aged care reform, putting a price on carbon, the Minerals Resource Rent Tax, the NBN and improvements to the tax system.</p>
<p>These are initiatives that will ensure Australians can make the most of the opportunities ahead in the Asian Century while staying true to the things Labor has always stood for &#8211; front-line services for working Australians, jobs and help for those who need it most.</p>
<p>This is a fair and balanced budget in the interests of working Australians that will ensure our economy remains the standout performer in the developed world.</p>
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		<title>&#8220;Battlers budget:&#8221; the highlights</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/05/08/battlers-budget-the-highlights/</link>
		<comments>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/05/08/battlers-budget-the-highlights/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 May 2012 09:17:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=9581</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Federal  Treasurer Wayne Swan says the $1.5 billion surplus &#8211; at the heart of his fifth budget,  would be the &#8220;foundation&#8221; of the government&#8217;s plan to spread the benefits [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Federal  Treasurer Wayne Swan says the $1.5 billion surplus &#8211; at the heart of his fifth budget,  would be the &#8220;foundation&#8221; of the government&#8217;s plan to spread the benefits of the mining boom.</p>
<p>Delivering his budget speech in Federal parliament, Mr Swan said:&#8217;This is a budget about discipline and restraint, but also about priorities.</p>
<p>&#8220;&#8221;I am proud to announce a$3.6 billion spread the wealth package,&#8221;  he added.</p>
<p>Mr Swan confirmed that the 1 per cent tax cut, planned for business, would be directed to low and middle income families instead.</p>
<p>He blamed the opposition for that reversal.</p>
<p>&#8220;We wanted to do more,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>But the opposition had prevented that.</p>
<p>The highlights Mr Swan announced, in what he called his &#8220;Battlers Budget&#8221; included:-</p>
<p>* A new Benefits of the boom package.  Mr Swan said this would include major tax reforms and increases to pensions and family payments.</p>
<p>* The first stage of  new national disability insurance scheme.</p>
<p>* A national dental scheme, to help those on low incomes.</p>
<p>* More strong investment in infrastructure.</p>
<p>* Overdue reforms, that would give older Australians more choice in aged care and</p>
<p>* New tax incentives for small business.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>This is just the &#8220;first taste&#8221;  &#8211; Swan</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/03/28/this-is-just-the-first-taste-swan/</link>
		<comments>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/03/28/this-is-just-the-first-taste-swan/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Mar 2012 22:56:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=9236</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The mining boom is just “the first taste” of the prosperity awaiting Australia  in the Asian Century, which now lies ahead,  the Federal Treasurer Wayne Swan says. Addressing  the Australia [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The mining boom is just “the first taste” of the prosperity awaiting Australia  in the Asian Century, which now lies ahead,  the Federal Treasurer Wayne Swan says.</p>
<p>Addressing  the Australia China Business Council in Melbourne, Mr Swan said:  “Australia stands right at the centre of a transformative, defining shift that will shape the 21st century.”</p>
<p>Over the next five years, the IMF expects China to drive about one third of global growth and that  Asia, more broadly, “would drive more than half.”</p>
<p>An increasingly prosperous middle class in Asia would demand more consumption goods and more services.</p>
<p>“Asia will demand more and better consumer goods – like complex consumer durables and high-end electronics which were previously available only to the wealthy in society,” Mr Swan said.</p>
<p>“And they’ll demand more sophisticated services – both at home and abroad. Education. Recreation. Healthcare. Financial services. Travel.”</p>
<p>However Mr Swan said Australia must develop the skills, capital and resources that would be needed to equip it to meet the challenges these developments would present.</p>
<p>“… we must continue to build our reputation as a high-technology, low-carbon economy – moving up the value chain in product and service markets to supply a rapidly middle-classing Asia,” Mr Swan said.</p>
<p>“But what really matters for our economic relationship is the drive of businesses and people to establish their own relations – their own friendships – in the region.</p>
<p>Mr Swan said Australia could also advance its prospects, in the Asian Century through business-to-business and people-to-people links.</p>
<p>“It will be the friendships made at school, the enjoyment of conversing in a common language, and the respect formed in conducting repeat business that will sustain our engagement with Asia into the future,” he added.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>Stand by for a brutal budget</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/03/11/stand-by-for-a-brutal-budget/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 11 Mar 2012 02:32:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=9092</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This year’s Federal budget will be brutal. Although the Treasurer, Wayne Swan, won’t produce it until May, the signs are already clear. Major employer organisations, including the Australian Chamber of [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This year’s Federal budget will be brutal.</p>
<p>Although the Treasurer, Wayne Swan, won’t produce it until May, the signs are already clear.</p>
<p>Major employer organisations, including the Australian Chamber of Commerce and Industry and the Housing Industry Association, are already urging Mr Swan to scrap his plans for a budget surplus and to ease policy settings.</p>
<p>With retail sales weak, the building sector floundering and Australia’s job market softening they have a case.</p>
<p>But Mr Swan isn’t listening.</p>
<p>He says Europe’s debt crisis shows why a surplus is necessary.</p>
<p>Troubled nations, like Greece, failed to set out and stick to credible paths back to budget surpluses, after the global economic crisis struck, he says.</p>
<p>“Maintaining our fiscal rigour is absolutely essential at a time when markets are punishing those without discipline,” he declares</p>
<p>“ It sends a message of confidence to the world in uncertain times and also provides the Reserve Bank with maximum flexibility to respond to any further deterioration in the global economy,” Mr Swan adds.</p>
<p>It is all to easy to forget, though, that the world did slap on the brakes, too early, after the Great Depression struck in 1929.</p>
<p>Stimulus measures, tried then, too, but they were abandoned too early, with disastrous results.</p>
<p>The current economic crisis, which is not yet behind us, is  the worst since those dreadful days.</p>
<p>So that message matters.</p>
<p>The stimulus package, that Mr Swan applied, after the 2008 crash, did work.</p>
<p>That – and strong iron ore and coal sales to China over recent years &#8211; have kept  Australia  – conspicuously – out of recession, over recent years.</p>
<p>Mr Swan says Australia’s economic performance, in that time, has been “solid.”</p>
<p>But unemployment is also higher now, than it was a year ago, well established shops and factories have been closing their doors for good, and major businesses, like banks and airlines have been shedding staff.</p>
<p>So the risk of a downward spiral in our economy is still with us.</p>
<p>Especially as tax receipts have been falling.</p>
<p>Mr Swan is clear about that.</p>
<p>“  Many people don’t realise that one of the lingering effects of the GFC has been a massive write-down of tax receipts,” he says.</p>
<p>When the government did its mid year checks, its books were showing that tax receipts would be $140 billion lower, over a five year period, than had been expected before the global financial crisis struck.</p>
<p>“Since then we’ve seen further weakness in company tax receipts as highlighted in the National Accounts, “ Mr Swan said.</p>
<p>He said these had shown company profits down 2.7 per cent in the December quarter.</p>
<p>“This will inevitably flow through to the budget bottom line and obviously means we will have to find <em>significant savings</em> in the May Budget.”</p>
<p>Treasury speak sometimes requires translation, in the broader world.</p>
<p>This time it is fair to say that Mr Swan’s talk of <em>significant savings </em>means that he is softening us up, for a brutal budget.</p>
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		<title>Closer co-operation promised on deregulation</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/03/06/closer-co-operation-promised-on-deregulation/</link>
		<comments>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/03/06/closer-co-operation-promised-on-deregulation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Mar 2012 01:36:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=9035</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Julia Gillard promises closer co-operation with business on the next stage of regulation reform.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Julia Gillard promises closer co-operation with business on the next stage of regulation reform.</p>
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		<title>Tony Abbott among MPs named and shamed</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/01/17/tony-abbott-among-mps-named-and-shamed/</link>
		<comments>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2012/01/17/tony-abbott-among-mps-named-and-shamed/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Jan 2012 20:38:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=8556</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Opposition Leader, Tony Abbott, the Attorney-General, Nicola Roxon, and former prime ministers Bob Hawke and Paul Keating are among those who have claimed parliamentary expenses but not verified them, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Opposition Leader, Tony Abbott, the Attorney-General, Nicola Roxon, and former prime ministers Bob Hawke and Paul Keating are among those who have claimed parliamentary expenses but not verified them, according to the Canberra Times.</p>
<p>The paper was quoting from a<a href="http://finance.gov.au/publications/parliamentarians-reporting/parliamentarians_certification_T28.html"> list </a>published by the Department of Finance.</p>
<p>It noted that serving and former parliamentarians are entitled to hundreds of thousands of dollars in allowances a year for domestic and overseas travel, office fit-outs and family travel expenses.</p>
<p>“ For example, Mr Abbott was paid about $590,000 in entitlements for the first half of 2011, according to the department&#8217;s report, and Ms Roxon claimed about $190,500 for the same period.”</p>
<p>But for the first time the department has published a &#8221;name and shame&#8221; list of the politicians who failed to examine the bill they ran up and check it off against their own accounts.</p>
<p>Every parliamentarian is provided with a six-monthly account, called a &#8221;management report&#8221;, of what he or she has spent and asked to certify that the expenses were paid for proper reasons.</p>
<p>But politicians including Adam Bandt of the Greens, the Deputy Opposition Leader, Julie Bishop, and the Immigration Minister, Chris Bowen, have not yet tallied their accounts for the public record, according to the department&#8217;s list.</p>
<p>Signing off on the accounts is not compulsory but in a 2009 Senate estimates hearing, Labor senator John Faulkner advocated for the &#8221;naming and shaming&#8221; list as an important transparency measure.</p>
<p>&#8221;I certainly would not want to be a parliamentarian so named and that of itself, I think, would be a significant sanction,&#8221; he told the hearing. &#8221;What people want to see is the management reports certified and provided to the department.&#8221;</p>
<p>A 2009-10 Auditor-General&#8217;s report pointed out weaknesses in the self-certification system, including that compliance by parliamentarians was voluntary.</p>
<p>Queensland Labor senator Claire Moore has spoken on this issue in Senate estimates and, together with Senator Faulkner, has advocated for greater accountability.</p>
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		<title>How to get more</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2011/12/11/how-to-get-more/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 11 Dec 2011 04:12:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=8199</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Economic growth is possible in a finite world – if we increase productivity. But what does that mysterious, economists&#8217; word,  really  mean? Getting more blood out of a stone, perhaps, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Economic growth is possible in a finite world – if we increase productivity.</p>
<p>But what does that mysterious, economists&#8217; word,  really  mean?</p>
<p>Getting more blood out of a stone, perhaps, by working smarter, not harder.</p>
<p>Frustration with the way we are expected to work is very common  and &#8211; all often &#8211; thoroughly justified.</p>
<p>Your correspondent has some experience with this, as joint author of a book on productivity, called “Because no Bastard Ever Asked Me.”</p>
<p>The anecdote, which led to that odd title, was  of a production worker,   Bob,  who worked in factory making  washing machines.</p>
<p>But too many of those washing machines were so unstable that they “walked” around laundry floors.</p>
<p>In desperation, Bob&#8217;s boss had hired consultants, to find out why.</p>
<p>As the consultants watched machines moving down the production line, Bob&#8217;s boss heard Bob, mutter “another bad one.”</p>
<p>Bob did that  once or twice more.</p>
<p>So the  boss asked him if he could identify machines that would “walk” before they left the factory.</p>
<p>“Yes,” Bob said.</p>
<p>“They have rough metal under the rim of their bowls.”</p>
<p>“We have had this problem for for a long time,” the boss replied.</p>
<p>“Why didn’t you speak up?”</p>
<p>“Because no bastard ever asked me,” Bob said.</p>
<p>(We still have a few copies of the book. Email me at <a href="mailto:alanthornhill@netscape.net">alanthornhill@netscape.net</a> if you want one).</p>
<p>The Treasurer, Wayne Swan, also argued the case for increased productivity at the weekend, saying the government is pursuing it by:-</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<ul>
<li>A doubling of the investment in roads, rail and ports over the six years from 2008-09;</li>
<li>Building the <span style="text-decoration: underline;">National Broadband Network</span>, which will help drive down costs of doing business;</li>
<li>A greater focus on skills, training and apprenticeships, including the $3 billion investment in the Budget;</li>
<li>Putting a price on carbon pollution, which will help shift our economy to clean energy and low-pollution technologies in a way that provides maximum support to productivity growth;</li>
<li>Promoting innovation through better targeting of tax incentives, and $9.4 billion in spending on science and research;</li>
<li>Reducing regulatory barriers and business red tape by working with the states on consistent rules and processes, such as uniform occupational health and safety laws and a national occupational licensing system;</li>
<li>Building on our tax reform agenda, such as cutting the company tax rate to boost competitiveness, and tripling the tax-free threshold to provide workforce incentives; and</li>
<li>A Fair Work Act built on enterprise bargaining that supports firms’ efforts to be more productive, and balances fairness and flexibility.</li>
</ul>
<p>That’s the government’s response to the Coalition’s argument that it is wasting taxpayers’ money.</p>
<p>It’s a wordy one,  though.</p>
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		<title>Qantas expected to resume flights this afternoon</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2011/10/31/qantas-still-grounded/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 31 Oct 2011 02:42:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=7628</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Qantas is now expected to start lifting passengers again from 3pm today, but authorities believe it won&#8217;t be able to restore full services until Wednesday. Meanwhile its rival, Virgin, will [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Qantas is now expected to start lifting passengers again from 3pm today, but authorities believe it won&#8217;t be able to restore full services until Wednesday.</p>
<p>Meanwhile its rival, Virgin, will be providing 3,000 extra seats today, to help clear passenger backlogs.</p>
<p>The Prime Minister, Julia Gillard, described the action of Qantas chief, Alan Joyce, who grounded the airline on Saturday as &#8220;extreme&#8221; and said her government had acted as quickly as it could to restore the airline&#8217;s services.</p>
<p>The government won an order from Fair Work Australia, which Ms Gillard described as &#8220;the independent umpire&#8221; for a cessation of all industrial action, including the lockout.</p>
<p>The Opposition Leader, Tony Abbott, has accused the government of failing to intervene early enough, in the dispute.</p>
<p>Qantas has said earlier that it would resume services as soon as possible, but there were no passenger flights this morning.</p>
<p>The airline had to wait for clearances from the Civil Aviation Safety Authority.</p>
<p>The lockout left thousands of passengers stranded – and many Federal members wondering if they could get to Canberra, for vital Spring sittings this week.</p>
<p>It also disrupted the travel plans of thousands of Australians, including many who wanted tickets to Melbourne, for the Melbourne Cup tomorrow. </p>
<p>The Qantas lockout followed the airline&#8217;s announcement, back in August, that  it would cut at least 1,000 jobs.</p>
<p>Efforts to get Qantas planes back into the air resumed, before Fair Work Australia, at 2pm Sunday.</p>
<p>FWA issued its cessation order twelve hours later.</p>
<p>The dispute has further damaged business confidence, particularly in the small to medium enterprise sector, which depends heavily on air  transport.</p>
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		<title>Carbon tax:How you will be hit</title>
		<link>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2011/10/12/carbon-taxhow-you-will-be-hit/</link>
		<comments>http://privatebriefing.com.au/2011/10/12/carbon-taxhow-you-will-be-hit/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Oct 2011 22:28:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alan Thornhill</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://privatebriefing.com.au/?p=7480</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Political debate in Australia often confuses, when it should inform. Yet, what our politicians decide can have a big impact on our personal budgets. The proposed carbon tax legislation is, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Political debate in Australia often confuses, when it should inform.</p>
<p>Yet, what our politicians decide can have a big impact on our personal budgets.</p>
<p>The proposed carbon tax legislation is, very much, a case in point.</p>
<p>The House of Representatives approved it today, on a 74-72 vote.</p>
<p>The  19 Clean Energy Bills, which contain it, now go to the Senate, which is expected to vote on it later today.</p>
<p>They are likely to be approved there, too. </p>
<p>So how will all this hit your pocket or purse?</p>
<p>Well, you probably won’t be hit directly, with the new tax.</p>
<p>It will apply only to about 500 of Australia’s biggest polluters.</p>
<p>The main impact, for most of us, will be through flow-on effects, through things like higher electricity bills.</p>
<p>Jobs, like those of factory workers, employed in industries that compete heavily with imports, could also be affected.</p>
<p>The government argues, though, that a low carbon economy is needed, to prevent Australia falling behind other countries, which are also moving to clean energy.</p>
<p>People, on social security, will be compensated for the extra costs, that will come with the new tax.</p>
<p>That will be done through changes to social security, family assistance, veterans’ entitlements, military rehabilitation and compensation, farm household support and aged care, and for what the government calls &#8220;related purposes.&#8221;</p>
<p>Under the Government’s plan, there will be a new Clean Energy Supplement.</p>
<p>That will deliver a 1.7 per cent increase in pensions, allowances and family payments. </p>
<p>The extra assistance will mean:<br />
•	Up to $338 extra per year for single pensioners and self-funded retirees, and up to $510 per year for pensioner couples combined.<br />
•	Up to $110 per child for a family that receives Family Tax Benefit Part A.<br />
•	Up to $69 extra for families that receive Family Tax Benefit Part B.<br />
•	Up to $218 extra per year for single income support recipients and $390 per year for couples combined for people on allowances.<br />
•	Up to $234 per year for single parents in addition to the increased family payments they receive.</p>
<p>Will that be enough?</p>
<p>Independent organisations, like the Brotherhood of Saint Laurence, which have checked the government’s figures, think so.</p>
<p>Indeed, the Brotherhood has congratulated the government on all this.</p>
<p>What about the rest of us, though? </p>
<p>The wage slaves, who are not on welfare.</p>
<p>Well, several important tax reforms have been announced, to coincide with the new carbon tax. </p>
<p>These include the government’s decision to raise the tax threshold to $18,200 from July 1, next year.</p>
<p>The Treasurer, Wayne Swan, has even been talking of raising the threshold to $21,000, as soon as the government can afford to do so.</p>
<p>Voters have long memories, so Treasurers, must be confident that such promises are realistic, when they talk like that.</p>
<p>But – as its name implies – the proposed Clean Energy legislation is really meant to be about tackling global warming, not just changing tax laws.</p>
<p>The government, itself, admits that  the transport sector accounts a big slice of our greenhouse gas emissions. </p>
<p>About 15 per cent in fact.</p>
<p>So won’t the  carbon tax hit us at the petrol pump?</p>
<p>Not unless you are driving a heavy truck.</p>
<p>That is a vehicle of 4.5 tonnes, or more.</p>
<p>Light vehicles, like the family car or tradie’s ute will be permanently excluded.</p>
<p>What about air fares.</p>
<p>Domestic air fares will be hit.</p>
<p>On the best estimates, though, the tax would add about $2 to the price of a seat on a flight  between Melbourne and Sydney.</p>
<p>Why not wait for until you are on the plane, for your coffee, instead of having it at the terminal.</p>
<p>That way you’ll come out ahead.</p>
<p>The airlines, though, won’t have to pay the tax on the fuel they use on their international flights.</p>
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